Quarterly Financial Report for the quarter ended September 30, 2022

1.1 Authority, Mandate and Program Activities

The CGC was established in 1912 and is the federal government department responsible for administering the provisions of the Canada Grain Act (CGA).

The CGC’s mandate as set out in the act is to, “in the interests of the grain producers, establish and maintain standards of quality for Canadian grain and regulate grain handling in Canada, to ensure a dependable commodity for domestic and export markets”.

The CGC’s vision is “To be a world class, science-based quality assurance provider”. The Minister of Agriculture and Agri-Food is responsible for the CGC.

The CGC’s Core Responsibility is Grain Regulation, or, to regulate grain handing in Canada and to establish and maintain science based standards for Canadian grain. The Commission regulates the handing of 21 grains^{Footnote 1} grown in Canada to protect producer rights and to ensure the integrity of grain transactions.

The CGC’s Departmental Results are that domestic and international markets regard Canadian grain as dependable and safe, and that farmers are fairly compensated for their grain. The CGC has three programs: Grain Quality, Grain Research and Safeguards for Grain Farmers. Internal Services supports these programs.

Further details on the CGC’s authority, mandate, and programs may be found in the Departmental Plan, the Departmental Results Report, and the Main Estimates.

1.2 Basis of Presentation

This quarterly report has been prepared by management using an expenditure basis of accounting (modified cash) and a special purpose financial reporting framework designed to meet financial information needs with respect to the use of spending authorities. The accompanying Statement of Budgetary Authorities compares the department’s spending authorities granted by Parliament to those used by the department. Information in the Statement of Authorities is consistent with that in the Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates.

The authority of Parliament is required before moneys can be spent by the Government. Approvals are given in the form of annually approved limits through Appropriations Acts or through legislation in the form of statutory spending for specific purposes.

As part of the Parliamentary business of supply, the Main Estimates must be tabled in Parliament on or before March 1 preceding the new fiscal year.

The CGC uses the full accrual method of accounting to prepare and present its annual departmental financial statements included in the Departmental Results Report. However, the spending authorities voted by Parliament are on an expenditure basis (modified cash) of accounting.

1.3 CGC Financial Structure

The CGC funding structure is based on budgetary authorities that are comprised of both statutory and voted (non-statutory) authorities. The statutory authorities include employee benefit plan authority for appropriation-funded personnel costs and CGC revolving fund authority, which allows the CGC to re-spend fees that it has collected. The voted authority is Vote 1 – Program Expenditures, which includes annual appropriation authority and any one-time ad hoc appropriation authority for the fiscal year. A combination of revolving fund (based on service fees) and appropriation sources fund CGC programs and services. The CGC aims to recover, on average, approximately 90 percent of costs through fees and the balance through appropriation.

The baseline for existing service and licence fees was established in 2017-18 for the five-year period ending March 2023 and was based on a $62.5 million budget and an annual average official inspection and weighing volume of 34.4 million metric tonnes (MMT). The expenditures for inspection services can vary from year to year according to the quality and volume of the crop. Since fees were implemented in 2017-18, costs have remained relatively stable. However, unprecedented increases in grain production and export volumes, and major private sector infrastructure investments in the grain handling system, resulted in increased revenue and continued accumulation of revolving fund surplus.

To address the continued accumulation of revolving fund surplus, in 2020-21 the CGC updated its model for forecasting the volume of grain that it expects to officially inspect and weigh upon discharge from terminal elevators. The CGC projected that the organization would officially inspect and weigh approximately 48.1 MMT of grain annually for the following three fiscal years (2021-22 to 2023-24). In May 2021, the CGC proposed a realignment of four fees for official inspection and official weighing services with the adjusted grain volume forecast. These 29% fee reductions were effective August 1, 2021.

However, excessively hot and dry growing conditions across most of the western Canadian grain production area in 2021 resulted in significantly decreased yields. This in turn resulted in reduced grain volumes at export position as, despite growing infrastructure capacity, there was simply not sufficient grain supply to match previous expectations. As such, CGC officially inspected and weighed 32.6 MMT for fiscal 2021-22. This was a significant decrease over the original forecasted volumes of 43.5 MMT and resulted in reduced revenues.

Under the current five-year cycle, all fees were to be reviewed and amended, as required on April 1, 2023. However, this comprehensive review is now targeted to be complete for April 1, 2025 to allow for the CGA Review process to advance and inform future work.

The CGC’s revenue projections for 2021-22 and beyond are based on the funding model identified in the 2017 User Fees Consultation and Pre-Proposal Notification, fees published in the Canada Gazette, Part II in March 2018, and updated fees published in the Canada Gazette, Part II in July 2021. This includes a revised annual grain volume projection of 48.1 MMT and fees as set out in Schedule I of the Canada Grain Regulations. Beginning in 2019-20, the CGC started adjusting fees annually for inflation each year on April 1 to be consistent with the Service Fees Act (SFA) and to limit the need for fee amendments going forward. The 2022-23 adjustment is based on the April All-Items Consumer Index for Canada of negative 3.4 percent. Current fee amounts are located on the CGC website.

Planned revenue projections and full time equivalents (FTEs) for 2022-23 and beyond are available in the CGC’s 2022-23 Departmental Plan.

2.1 Authority Available Analysis

As reflected in the Statement of Budgetary Authorities, the department’s total authority available for use (net of Revolving Fund revenue) in the fiscal year as at September 30, 2022 is $13.416 million, as compared to $6.970 million as at September 30, 2021. The increase in authority of $6.446 million is primarily the result of a planned spending increase on strategic initiatives to be funded by the accumulated surplus for projects such as Mobile Device Strategy and strengthening cyber security.

2.2 Authority Used Analysis

As reflected in the Departmental Budgetary Expenditures by Standard Object, the department’s total budgetary authority used in the quarter ended September 30, 2022 is $8.262 million, as compared to 1.097 million as at the quarter ended September 30, 2021. The change of $7.165 million in total budgetary authority used can be attributed to:

• The overall decrease of $7.402 million in revenues received in the quarter ended September 30, 2022 is due to a significant decrease in grain volumes the CGC inspected and weighed as a result the ongoing impacts of the 2021 drought as well as reduced outward inspection and weighing fees that came into effect August 1, 2021.
• The overall decrease of $0.238 million in expenditures, primarily a result of the following variances:
  • Personnel expenditures decreased by $0.385 million as compared to the same quarter last year, primarily due to the reduction in overtime required resulting from inspecting and weighing lower than forecasted grain volumes and lower severance payments.
  • Professional Services expenditures decreased by $0.208 million primarily due to the timing of billing from other government departments for services provided.
  • Machinery and Equipment expenditures increased by $0.277 million primarily due to the timing of payments on purchases that were not received by year-end.

The total budgetary authority used in the year to September 30, 2022 is $17.390 million compared to 0.375 million for the same period last year. The change of $17.015 million in budgetary authority used can be attributed to:

• The overall decrease of $17.610 million in revenues received in the period ended September 30, 2022, was primarily due to a significant decrease in grain volumes handled as a result of drought and the decrease to inspection and weighing fees that was effective August 1.
• The overall decrease of $0.596 million in expenditures, primarily a result of the following variance:
  • Personnel expenditures decreased by $0.934 million as compared to the same period last year, primarily due to retroactive payouts during the first quarter of 2021-22 and the reduction in overtime required resulting from inspecting and weighing lower than forecasted grain volumes.

3.1 Revenue Uncertainty

CGC fee revenue is largely based on grain volumes, which fluctuate from year to year. In addition, grain volumes are not fully known prior to commencement of the fiscal year. This can result in significant variances between CGC projected and actual revenues. Because actual grain volumes vary from year to year, in years with higher-than-average grain volumes, revenues may exceed costs and the CGC could accumulate surpluses (shown as unused authority carried forward in Public Accounts). In years with lower-than-average grain volumes, revenues could be less than costs and the CGC would be required to draw on its surpluses.

Climate change and extreme weather events such as droughts and floods can significantly impact grain production, and consequently increase the CGC’s revenue risk. In addition, the Canadian grain sector continually faces export volume uncertainty regarding access to international markets due to market sensitivity to actual or perceived grain quality and food-safety issues. Restricted market access has the potential to result in lower-than-expected grain volumes and revenues.

Excessively hot and dry growing conditions across most of the western Canadian grain production area in 2021 resulted in significantly decreased yields. This in turn resulted in reduced grain volumes at export position. This impacted the volume of grain inspected and weighed by the CGC in fiscal year 2021-22, contributing to a revenue shortfall of $13.99 million. The revenue shortfall was covered by revolving fund surplus accumulated since 2018. The impact of 2021 drought conditions on reduced export grain volumes continued in the first two quarters of 2022-23. Compared to revenue earned during the same time period last year, revenue earned during the first quarter of 2022-23 was $10.21 million less and revenue earned during the second quarter of 2022-23 was $7.40 million less. This is due to reduced grain volumes inspected and weighed and lower fees that came into effect on August 1, 2021.

The CGC forecasted increased total revenues for 2022-23 compared to 2021-22 in anticipation of a return to normal weather conditions in 2022. The CGC annual budget is reviewed throughout the year to accommodate shifting needs and priorities, including risk mitigation strategies that enable the CGC to accommodate up to a 20 percent variance in forecasted grain volumes. The CGC will continue to monitor and assess impacts and uncertainties associated with grain volumes and the potential impact on 2022-23 revenues. The CGC is targeting a comprehensive service fee and grain volume model review for adjustments effective April 1, 2025.

3.2 Surplus and Canada Grain Act Review

From 2013 to 2018, unprecedented increases in Canadian grain production and relatively stable operating costs led to an accumulated revolving fund surplus of approximately $130 million as of March 31, 2018. In 2018 the CGC established an Investment Framework focused on strategic investments in three key areas:

• strengthening safeguards for producers,
• investing in grain quality assurance, and
• enhancing grain quality science and innovation.

The Investment Framework retains $40 million of the accumulated surplus for a contingency operating reserve to mitigate risks associated with declines in revenues, while committing $90 million for strategic investments. When the Investment Framework was announced in 2018, the CGC committed to consulting the sector on further surplus investment initiatives. At that time, the CGC envisioned rolling out investments over a two-year timeframe. However, this timeline was subsequently delayed because of Budget 2019’s announcement of the CGA Review to ensure alignment between the two processes.

Since 2018, Canadian grain export volumes continued to grow, and some of the factors leading to recent increases were not anticipated by the current grain forecasting model. Combined with relatively stable operating costs, this led to further surplus growth in 2018 to 2021, the majority of which occurred in 2020-21 due to extraordinary grain export volumes. Prior to 2020-21, the CGC realized relatively small surpluses which are reasonable in a revolving fund environment. To address this situation and mitigate the risk of further surplus growth, the CGC updated its model for forecasting annual grain volumes and revenue projections. Effective August 1, 2021, the fees for official inspection and weighing that generate most of the surplus were reduced by 29 percent and realigned with an adjusted grain volume forecast of 48.10 million metric tonnes.

To date, the CGC has allocated funding to the following projects:

• enhancements to the Harvest Sample Program;
• pulse testing program to strengthen research and innovation;
• renewal of laboratory infrastructure to develop a workplace for a post COVID-19 working environment; and
• the MyCGC e-services platform, a suite of integrated program delivery systems to provide seamless digital service to CGC clients.

After being paused for much of 2020-21 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) formally relaunched the CGA Review in January 2021 with public consultations closing on April 30, 2021. A resulting “What We Heard” report was published in August 2021 detailing consultation feedback.

The CGC continues to work with AAFC to analyse the various options presented through the consultation and determine how best to move forward with the modernization of the Canadian grain regulatory framework to ensure it meets the needs of the evolving grain sector. Any future initiatives under the Investment Framework will be informed by, and align with, the outcomes of this process. It is too early to assess and determine potential impacts of the CGA Review on the CGC’s funding model and accumulated surplus. Going forward, the CGC will consider investment initiatives within the broader context of the CGA Review outcomes and any ongoing drought impacts on grain volumes and fee revenue.